Examples of tools

Nowcasting and forecasting of infectious disease dynamics

Timeline so far

• delay distributions and how to estimate them (day 1)
• \(R_t\) estimation and the generation interval (day 1)
• nowcasting (day 2)
• forecasting and evaluation, ensemble methods (day 2)
• applications (day 3)

Available tools or custom implementation?

A few open-source tools implement some or all of the methods we have encountered in the course.

Available tools or custom implementation?

• Loses flexibility of custom approaches

  • different epidemiological problems, different data - different methods?

Available tools or custom implementation?

• Value of using - and contributing

  • avoids duplication

  • improves the chances of finding errors

  • helps discussing and ultimately enforcing best practice

Your Turn

How does each tool relate to key concepts in the course?

• EpiEstim
• EpiNow2
• Epinowcast

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