Timetable

This is the Nowcasting course, taught July 13-15 (the first half of the SISMID week, Monday through Wednesday morning). It is paired with the companion forecasting & evaluation course which runs from Wednesday midday to Friday, July 15-17.

Day Time Session / activity Content
Mon 13 Jul 09.00–10.00 Session 0 · Introduction & course overview Slides, Getting started, Course overview, Motivation
10.00–10.30 Session 1 · Delay distributions Slides, Practice
10.30–11.00 Coffee break
11.00–11.30 Session 1 · Delay distributions (cont.)
11.30–12.30 Session 2 · Biases in delay distributions Slides, Practice
12.30–13.30 Lunch
13.30–14.00 Session 2 · Biases in delay distributions (cont.)
14.00–15:00 Session 3 · Modelling the data-generating process Slides, Practice
15.00–15.30 Coffee break
15.30–17.00 Session 4 · \(R_t\) estimation & the renewal equation Slides, Practice
Tue 14 Jul 09.00–09.15 Day 1 review
09.15–10.30 Session 5 · Nowcasting concepts Slides, Practice
10.30–11.00 Coffee break
11.00–12.30 Session 6 · Nowcasting with an unknown reporting delay Slides, Practice
12.30–13.30 Lunch
13.30–15.00 Session 7 · Combining nowcasting & forecasting Slides, Practice
15.00–15.30 Coffee break
15.30–17.00 Session 8 · Jointly fitting multiple data streams Slides, Practice
Wed 15 Jul 09.00–09.15 Day 2 review
09.15–10.30 Session 9 · Modelling complex reporting processes Slides, Practice
10.30–11.00 Coffee break
11.00–12.00 Session 9 · Modelling complex reporting processes (cont.)
12.00–12.15 Session 10 · Methods in the real world Methods in the real world
12.15–12.30 Session 11 · Summary & discussion Summary, further reading