Timetable
This is the Nowcasting course, taught July 13-15 (the first half of the SISMID week, Monday through Wednesday morning). It is paired with the companion forecasting & evaluation course which runs from Wednesday midday to Friday, July 15-17.
This is the Nowcasting course, taught July 13-15 (the first half of the SISMID week, Monday through Wednesday morning). It is paired with the companion forecasting & evaluation course which runs from Wednesday midday to Friday, July 15-17.
| Day | Time | Session / activity | Content |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 13 Jul | 09.00–10.00 | Session 0 · Introduction & course overview | Slides, Getting started, Course overview, Motivation |
| 10.00–10.30 | Session 1 · Delay distributions | Slides, Practice | |
| 10.30–11.00 | Coffee break | ||
| 11.00–11.30 | Session 1 · Delay distributions (cont.) | ||
| 11.30–12.30 | Session 2 · Biases in delay distributions | Slides, Practice | |
| 12.30–13.30 | Lunch | ||
| 13.30–14.00 | Session 2 · Biases in delay distributions (cont.) | ||
| 14.00–15:00 | Session 3 · Modelling the data-generating process | Slides, Practice | |
| 15.00–15.30 | Coffee break | ||
| 15.30–17.00 | Session 4 · \(R_t\) estimation & the renewal equation | Slides, Practice | |
| Tue 14 Jul | 09.00–09.15 | Day 1 review | |
| 09.15–10.30 | Session 5 · Nowcasting concepts | Slides, Practice | |
| 10.30–11.00 | Coffee break | ||
| 11.00–12.30 | Session 6 · Nowcasting with an unknown reporting delay | Slides, Practice | |
| 12.30–13.30 | Lunch | ||
| 13.30–15.00 | Session 7 · Combining nowcasting & forecasting | Slides, Practice | |
| 15.00–15.30 | Coffee break | ||
| 15.30–17.00 | Session 8 · Jointly fitting multiple data streams | Slides, Practice | |
| Wed 15 Jul | 09.00–09.15 | Day 2 review | |
| 09.15–10.30 | Session 9 · Modelling complex reporting processes | Slides, Practice | |
| 10.30–11.00 | Coffee break | ||
| 11.00–12.00 | Session 9 · Modelling complex reporting processes (cont.) | ||
| 12.00–12.15 | Session 10 · Methods in the real world | Methods in the real world | |
| 12.15–12.30 | Session 11 · Summary & discussion | Summary, further reading |